Of course, this title is click bait. I haven’t seen anything that indicates large amounts of people will be taking advantage of the mandate exemptions. It will just be people around the margins. Still, in order to declare Obamacare a failure, it would help to know what success is supposed to be.
If success is that everyone is insured, than the CBO indicates that Obamacare is already a failure, as it projects to barely move the needle of percentage of uninsured, and still leaves 31 million people uninsured in 2024.
So no, Obamacare is not a failure, but it’s not a success either.